Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.031399 0.033761 0.036122 0.038656 0.041295 0.043959 0.046848
2025-09-14 0.026253 0.029971 0.033816 0.038075 0.042645 0.047386 0.052662
2025-09-21 0.022907 0.027371 0.032108 0.037476 0.043355 0.049568 0.056600
2025-09-28 0.020074 0.025006 0.030361 0.036550 0.043449 0.050852 0.059346
2025-10-05 0.018876 0.024316 0.030332 0.037392 0.045368 0.054025 0.064058
2025-10-12 0.017579 0.023396 0.029942 0.037736 0.046651 0.056428 0.067861
2025-10-19 0.016126 0.022191 0.029137 0.037526 0.047236 0.057991 0.070677
2025-10-26 0.015547 0.021972 0.029434 0.038547 0.049193 0.061073 0.075176
2025-11-02 0.014591 0.021235 0.029069 0.038751 0.050170 0.063014 0.078362
2025-11-09 0.013558 0.020342 0.028469 0.038631 0.050735 0.064453 0.080952
2025-11-16 0.012674 0.019587 0.027993 0.038625 0.051400 0.065984 0.083627
2025-11-23 0.011677 0.018634 0.027230 0.038233 0.051578 0.066923 0.085598
2025-11-30 0.010740 0.017766 0.026604 0.038062 0.052099 0.068366 0.088287
2025-12-07 0.009656 0.016659 0.025649 0.037476 0.052127 0.069248 0.090361
2025-12-14 0.008670 0.015619 0.024727 0.036883 0.052104 0.070039 0.092299
2025-12-21 0.007645 0.014455 0.023587 0.035966 0.051643 0.070273 0.093553
2025-12-28 0.007365 0.014341 0.023826 0.036800 0.053341 0.073093 0.097870
2026-01-04 0.006928 0.013969 0.023696 0.037141 0.054412 0.075151 0.101277
2026-01-11 0.006335 0.013323 0.023163 0.036932 0.054775 0.076335 0.103631
2026-01-18 0.006189 0.013355 0.023560 0.037944 0.056678 0.079400 0.108247
2026-01-25 0.005794 0.012970 0.023357 0.038146 0.057543 0.081188 0.111322
2026-02-01 0.005330 0.012442 0.022928 0.038027 0.057985 0.082446 0.113753
2026-02-08 0.004931 0.011995 0.022595 0.038021 0.058558 0.083859 0.116366